Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 8

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de la Juventud (Chongoyape)


	Pirata		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.9	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.81	3.26	2.25
	2.89	3.35	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	3.01	3.41	2.26
	2.9	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.34)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	2.27 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
31.7%

Draw
28.1%

Juan Pablo II College
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirata's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo II College's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pirata - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Izaguirre P. (G) 23. Butron F. 3. Diez Canseco P. 7. Dominguez A. 17. Fernandez F. 5. Hoyos H. 27. Lasso C. 22. Peralta M. 14. Quiroz G. 26. Santos S. 32. Suclupe M.	23. Vega M. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Aliaga R. 29. Aragon F. 27. Canova J. 14. Collante G. 28. Duran J. (C) 17. Espinoza A. 77. Rodriguez A. 13. Rodriguez N. 49. Silva S.
Substitutes
30. Almircar Rai C. C. 18. Cisneros Guerrero A. 13. Diaz L. 15. Gadea A. 8. Hidalgo S. 74. Lozada J. (G) 11. Lozano T. 16. Paredes R. 20. Robles R.	7. Aguero J. 8. Alva P. 9. Burga E. 20. Chuna L. 31. Cubas H. 24. Guevara A. 12. Marotazo M. (G) 15. Marotazo N. 4. Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Butron F. 🟨,
26', Alfani R. 🟨,
35', Lasso C. ↓, Almircar Rai C. C. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Almircar Rai C. C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Aragon F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aliaga R. ↓, Burga E. ↑,
59', Rodriguez A. ↓, Aguero J. ↑,
68', Santos S. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
72', Dominguez A. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
74', Silva S. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
79', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Rodriguez N. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Pirata	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Pirata - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Pirata - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	Cantolao - Pirata	2:2 ✺
21.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWWTL
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.24	Cantolao - Juan Pablo II College	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Belén	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Ayacucho	2:3 ✺
27.08.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	2:1
13.07.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	0:2
25.05.24	Pirata - Juan Pablo II College	1:2

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