Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)


	Pisa		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.6	3	2.85	Watch
	2.64	3.05	2.94
	2.76	3	3.01
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.66	3.06	2.84	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.11)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	2.86 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
36.2%

Draw
30.8%

Venezia
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pisa's performance.

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Pisa - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicolas A. (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 42. Barbieri T. 8. Marin M. 44. Veloso M. 19. Esteves T. 15. Toure I. 27. Valoti M. 9. Bonfanti N.	1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 19. Bjarkason B. 8. Tessmann T. 6. Busio G. 7. Zampano F. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 10. Pierini N.
Substitutes
28. Arena A. 51. Barberis A. 20. Beruatto P. 34. Campani M. (G) 6. Hermannsson H. 3. Leverbe M. 22. Loria L. (G) 26. Masucci G. 17. Mlakar J. 32. Moreo S. 36. Piccinini G. 7. Tramoni L.	15. Altare G. 38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 18. Jajalo M. 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 31. Ullmann M.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Vanoli P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pisa - Spezia	2:3 ✺
20.01.24	Lecco - Pisa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
18.02.24	Venezia - Modena	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Venezia	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Venezia - Ternana	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.10.23	Venezia - Pisa	2:1
17.02.23	Pisa - Venezia	1:1
17.09.22	Venezia - Pisa	1:1
04.05.21	Pisa - Venezia	2:2
04.01.21	Venezia - Pisa	1:1
22.02.20	Pisa - Venezia	1:2
28.09.19	Venezia - Pisa	1:1

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