Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Volpi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Cosenza		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.13	3.45	2.46
	3.58	3.16	2.31
	3	3.2	2.25
	3.42	3.32	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.93)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
28.5%

Draw
29.7%

Venezia
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.6%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	55%	25%

Nuova Cosenza - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (C) 17. Cimino B. 5. Camporese M. 23. Venturi M. 99. Frabotta G. 26. Praszelik M. 98. Zuccon F. 7. Marras M. 9. Tutino G. 30. Mazzocchi S. 10. Forte F.	1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 15. Altare G. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F. 24. Lella N. 8. Tessmann T. 6. Busio G. 10. Pierini N. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 17. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
14. Calo G. 19. Crespi V. 11. D'Orazio T. 6. Fontanarosa A. 18. Gyamfi B. 12. Lai A. (G) 77. Marson L. (G) 3. Rispoli A. 2. Sgarbi F. 24. Viviani M. 42. Voca I.	38. Andersen M. K. 19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 13. Modolo M. 99. Olivieri M. 30. Svoboda M. 31. Ullmann M.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Vanoli P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 0.

Cosenza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Venezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Venezia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Como	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTTL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
14.01.24	Venezia - Sampdoria	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Venezia	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
26.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.08.23	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
06.05.23	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	1:1
11.12.22	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	2:0
11.04.21	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	3:0
22.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	0:0
29.02.20	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
05.10.19	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	1:1

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