Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
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Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
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Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
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Portugal	Sport TV5
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Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app


	Parma		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.18	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.48	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.25
	2.15	3.58	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
44%

Draw
27.6%

Venezia
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	27.5%	10%

Parma - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 21. Vogliacco A. 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 16. Keita M. 19. Sohm S. 11. Almqvist P. 27. Hernani 28. Mihaila V. 22. Cancellieri M.	35. Stankovic F. (G) 27. Candela A. 4. Idzes J. 5. Haps R. 19. Bjarkason B. 97. Doumbia I. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Yeboah J. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bonny A. 23. Camara D. 40. Corvi E. (G) 8. Estevez N. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 46. Leoni G. 18. Lovik M. 98. Man D. 33. Marcone R. (G) 65. Plicco E. 63. Trabucchi N.	79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 24. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Keita M. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
32', Candela A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Almqvist P. ↓, Man D. ↑,
46', Cancellieri M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
46', Keita M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Hernani (Pen),
61', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
61', Candela A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
69', Vogliacco A. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
75', Bjarkason B. 🟨,
76', Bjarkason B. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
86', Mihaila V. ↓, Haj Mohamed A. ↑,
87', Sohm S. 🟨,
88', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
88', Doumbia I. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
90+4', Carboni F. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 3.

Parma is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Parma will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Altare G. (Injury) Crnigoj D. (Injury) Duncan A. (Injury) Sagrado R. (Injury) Schingtienne J. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury) Zampano F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B. (Injury) Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Torino - Parma	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Roma - Parma	5:0 ✺
15.12.24	Parma - Verona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Venezia - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.11.24	Venezia - Parma	1:2
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1
07.10.23	Venezia - Parma	3:2
19.05.23	Parma - Venezia	2:1
26.12.22	Venezia - Parma	2:2
Coppa Italia
17.08.19	Parma - Venezia	3:1
Italian Serie B
23.02.18	Parma - Venezia	1:1

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