Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, New World Sport App
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Belgium	15:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 2
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 2
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	22:00	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
India	19:30	GXR World
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	15:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Macao	22:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV5
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 5
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	17:00	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	09:00	CBS, Paramount+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	14:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app


	Parma		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.18	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.48	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.25
	2.15	3.58	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
44%

Draw
27.6%

Venezia
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	27.5%	10%

Parma - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 21. Vogliacco A. 5. Valenti L. 14. Valeri E. 16. Keita M. 19. Sohm S. 11. Almqvist P. 27. Hernani 28. Mihaila V. 22. Cancellieri M.	35. Stankovic F. (G) 27. Candela A. 4. Idzes J. 5. Haps R. 19. Bjarkason B. 97. Doumbia I. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 6. Busio G. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 10. Yeboah J. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bonny A. 23. Camara D. 40. Corvi E. (G) 8. Estevez N. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 46. Leoni G. 18. Lovik M. 98. Man D. 33. Marcone R. (G) 65. Plicco E. 63. Trabucchi N.	79. Carboni F. 31. Chiesurin A. 17. Conde C. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 24. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Keita M. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
32', Candela A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Almqvist P. ↓, Man D. ↑,
46', Cancellieri M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
46', Keita M. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Hernani (Pen),
61', Yeboah J. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
61', Candela A. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
69', Vogliacco A. ↓, Hainaut A. ↑,
75', Bjarkason B. 🟨,
76', Bjarkason B. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
86', Mihaila V. ↓, Haj Mohamed A. ↑,
87', Sohm S. 🟨,
88', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
88', Doumbia I. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
90+4', Carboni F. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 3.

Parma is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Parma will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Parma: Charpentier G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Kowalski M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Altare G. (Injury) Crnigoj D. (Injury) Duncan A. (Injury) Sagrado R. (Injury) Schingtienne J. (Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury) Zampano F. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Parma: Balogh B. (Injury) Bernabe A. (Thigh Injury) Estevez N. (Thigh Injury) Osorio Y. (Surgery)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Parma won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Torino - Parma	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Parma - Monza	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Roma - Parma	5:0 ✺
15.12.24	Parma - Verona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Venezia - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Venezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Napoli - Venezia	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Venezia - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.11.24	Venezia - Parma	1:2
Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Parma - Venezia	2:1
07.10.23	Venezia - Parma	3:2
19.05.23	Parma - Venezia	2:1
26.12.22	Venezia - Parma	2:2
Coppa Italia
17.08.19	Parma - Venezia	3:1
Italian Serie B
23.02.18	Parma - Venezia	1:1

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