Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Pisa

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	2	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.95
	3.9	3	2.08	Watch
	3.76	3.25	2.16
	3.96	3.16	2.01	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.97	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
24%

Draw
30.2%

Pisa
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

29.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

29.2%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Nuova Cosenza - Pisa Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Pisa will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 23. Venturi M. 29. Sgarbi F. 4. Martino P. (C) 5. Gargiulo M. 16. Ricciardi M. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 9. Artistico G. 34. Florenzi A.	47. Semper A. (G) 5. Canestrelli S. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 15. Toure I. 36. Piccinini G. 6. Marin M. 3. Angori S. 32. Moreo S. 11. Tramoni M. 45. Lind A.
Substitutes
12. Baldi G. (G) 2. Cimino B. 18. Cruz J. M. 15. Dalle Mura C. 44. De Franceschi L. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 28. Kouan C. 39. Kourfalidis C. 30. Mazzocchi S. 31. Ricci G.	28. Abildgaard O. 30. Arena A. 33. Calabresi A. 27. Castellini A. 8. Hojholt M. 22. Loria L. (G) 14. Meister H. 80. Morutan O. 1. Nicolas Andrade (G) 17. Rus A. 66. Sernicola L. 21. Solbakken M.
Coaches
Tortelli P.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
23', 0 - 1, Moreo S. ⚽,
24', Martino P. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Toure I. ⚽,
34', Marin M. 🟨,
36', Sgarbi F. 🟥,
39', Florenzi A. ↓, Hristov A. ↑,
41', Martino P. 🟨,
43', 0 - 3, Micai A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tramoni M. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
46', Marin M. ↓, Hojholt M. ↑,
46', Ciervo R. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
46', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
58', Canestrelli S. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
58', Moreo S. ↓, Castellini A. ↑,
65', Artistico G. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
72', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Calabresi A. ↑,
75', Gargiulo M. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
85', Mazzocchi S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.

Cosenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pisa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pisa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T. (Tendon Injury) Leris M. (Injury) Vignato E. (Ankle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:16 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Catanzaro - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Modena - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Juve Stabia - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLL
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
16.03.25	Pisa - Mantova	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Spezia - Pisa	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Pisa - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cesena - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.12.24	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	2:2
03.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	1:1
30.09.23	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	1:2
01.04.23	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	1:0
05.11.22	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	3:1
30.04.22	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
18.12.21	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	0:2

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