Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Renate		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.8	3.2	3.95
	1.9	3.15	3.8
	1.86	3.3	4.71
	1.88	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.4	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	4.1 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
49.8%

Draw
27.8%

Pistoiese
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Renate - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Renate in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pistoiese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Renate is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Renate won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Renate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Olbia - Renate	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Renate - Giana Erminio	4:0 ✺
28.11.20	Pergolettese - Renate	0:2 ✺
21.11.20	Renate - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
15.11.20	Novara - Renate	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lecco - Pistoiese	4:1 ✺
29.11.20	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Juventus U23 - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
15.11.20	Pistoiese - Olbia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.20	Renate - Pistoiese	1:0
25.09.19	Pistoiese - Renate	0:0
13.04.17	Renate - Pistoiese	0:1
03.12.16	Pistoiese - Renate	0:0

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