The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 39.6%
Draw 32.6%
Detroit City 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
33.1%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
32.8%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 28. Osumanu I. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 3. Barnes P. 42. Walti J. 2. Griffin D. (C) 37. Goldthorp E. 19. Bassett S. 14. Mertz R. 9. Dikwa A.
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 3. Stanley A. 33. Silva T. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 8. Diop A. 10. Cedeno J. 11. Rutz C. 20. Hope-Gund R. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
22. Agostoni W. 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 8. Etou B. 27. Flowers-Gamboa A. 17. Larsen B. 15. Sample B. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 13. Viera M.
32. Diouf A. 26. Egbuchulam C. 4. Montgomery C. 66. Obeid B. 91. Saldana C. (G) 6. Williams R. 2. Williams R.
Coaches
Vincent R.
Dichio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽, Barnes P. (A),
6', Mertz R. 🟨,
44', Walti J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Goldthorp E. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
61', Rutz C. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
61', Stanley A. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
74', Diop A. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
74', Hope-Gund R. ↓, Montgomery C. ↑,
76', Ahl C. 🟨,
78', Bassett S. ↓, Sample B. ↑,
78', Walti J. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽,
90', Campuzano N. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Egbuchulam C. ⚽,
90+3', Smith D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Detroit City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pittsburgh could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 0.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.