Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Referee: Hadzic A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN+, Paramount+


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.15	6.7
	1.43	4.43	7.35
	1.45	4.34	6.78	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.28 ↑ (4.01)	6.99 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
64.9%

Draw
21.8%

Las Vegas Lights
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

23.2%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

22.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Pittsburgh (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Randolph J. (G) 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 13. Biasi L. 2. Griffin D. (C) 15. Sample B. 8. Etou B. 12. Ahl C. 14. Mertz R. 9. Williams A.	56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Herbert A. 5. Gartig E. (C) 3. Jones N. 21. Probo G. 34. O'Driscoll R. 8. Gannon C. 17. Leal P. 10. Azcona E. 14. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
7. Boone C. 6. Broughton M. 1. Dick E. (G) 10. Jacquesson B. 17. Larsen B. 28. Osumanu I. 42. Walti J.	1. Ammeter N. (G) 98. Gaines M. 33. Nigro G. 6. Pearson C. 9. Pickering N. 18. Singer J. 30. Stojanovic S.
Coaches
Lilley B.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Gannon C. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
31', 1 - 0, Williams A. (Pen),
31', Azcona E. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Boudadi Y. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
70', Leal P. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
72', Mertz R. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
72', Ahl C. ↓, Boone C. ↑,
80', Etou B. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
80', Sample B. ↓, Walti J. ↑,
86', Williams A. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pittsburgh is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
20.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
20.09.25	Louisville City - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Las Vegas Lights - Miami	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0
20.05.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Las Vegas Lights	4:1
16.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0

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