The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28.6%
Draw 28.4%
Louisville City 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.5%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
27.7%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 3. Barnes P. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 37. Goldthorp E. 14. Mertz R. 2. Griffin D. (C) 42. Walti J. 9. Dikwa A. 7. Amann T.
12. Faundez D. (G) 31. Lambert K. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 23. Gleadle S. 6. Duncan Z. 8. Davila T. 13. Dia A. 25. Wilson J. 9. Donovan C. 3. Morris J.
Substitutes
10. Ahl C. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 23. Vacter G. 13. Viera M.
47. Akale M. 27. Davila E. 1. Fauroux H. (G) 16. Moguel C. 15. Perez E. 7. Serrano R. 14. Showunmi T.
Coaches
Vincent R.
Bird S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Adams K. 🟨,
29', Souza V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Amann T. ⚽, Walti J. (A),
48', 2 - 0, Amann T. ⚽, Barnes P. (A),
50', 3 - 0, Amann T. ⚽, Mertz R. (A),
55', Totsch S. 🟨,
55', Dia A. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
55', Gleadle S. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
55', Davila T. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
63', Amann T. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Wilson J. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Perez E. 🟨,
78', Mertz R. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
78', Goldthorp E. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
80', Duncan Z. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
88', Barnes P. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
90+1', Wilson J. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.
Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Louisville City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.3:1.2).
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Campuzano N. (G) 
Barnes P. 
Kelp L. 
Goldthorp E. 
Dikwa A. 
Lambert K. 
Adams K. (C) 
Duncan Z. 
Etou B. 
Osumanu I. 
Vacter G. 
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