Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Louisville City		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.7
	1.33	5.56	8.75
	1.04	13.25	29.39	Watch
	1.29	4.95	9.5	Watch
	1.23	5.88	8.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 (1.24)	6.92 ↑ (5.6)	12.83 ↑ (10.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
78.4%

Draw
14.1%

Las Vegas Lights
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Louisville City - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Las D. (G) 3. Morris J. 24. Jones J. 4. Totsch S. 13. Dia A. 17. Davila T. (C) 31. Lambert K. 2. McFadden A. 23. Gleadle S. 7. Serrano R. 25. Wilson J.	56. Arozarena R. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 3. Jones N. 5. Gartig E. 33. Nigro G. 22. McNamara T. 34. O'Driscoll R. 17. Leal P. 21. Probo G. 8. Gannon C. 14. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
27. Davila E. 83. Dayes B. 12. Faundez D. (G) 9. Goodrum P. 53. Lancaster C. 11. McCabe N. 10. Ownby B. 16. Perez A. 80. Stamps H.	1. Ammeter N. (G) 10. Azcona E. 4. Herbert A. 6. Pearson C. 9. Pickering N. 18. Singer J. 30. Stojanovic S.
Coaches
Cruz D.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Gleadle S. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
20', Davila T. (Pen),
30', McNamara T. 🟥,
39', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Serrano R. ↓, Goodrum P. ↑,
46', Gleadle S. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
46', McFadden A. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
60', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
62', Davila T. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
68', Rodriguez J. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
68', O'Driscoll R. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
68', Leal P. ↓, Azcona E. ↑,
69', Lancaster C. 🟨,
76', Probo G. 🟨,
83', Morris J. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽,

Preview

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Louisville City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Vegas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Louisville City is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
13.09.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Rhode Island - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Louisville City - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Miami - Louisville City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
13.09.25	Las Vegas Lights - Miami	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.05.24	Las Vegas Lights - Louisville City	2:2
24.06.23	Louisville City - Las Vegas Lights	1:0

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