Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV)

Referee: Klemp D. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Vegas Lights		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.87
	3.5	3.45	1.92
	3.41	3.47	2.13
	5.68	4.55	1.49	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2.08	Watch
	3.2	3.1	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.55)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.89 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
24.6%

Draw
26.1%

North Carolina
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.4%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Arozarena R. (G) 33. Nigro G. (C) 5. Gartig E. 4. Herbert A. 23. Boudadi Y. 8. Gannon C. 6. Pearson C. 17. Leal P. 30. Stojanovic S. 14. Rodriguez J. 9. Pickering N.	22. Semmle O. (G) 11. Burner P. 7. Conway E. 10. Servania J. 8. Pedro Becker 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. (C) 44. Sommersall R. 55. Hodge T.
Substitutes
1. Ammeter N. (G) 41. Covil V. 10. Gaines M. 3. Jones N. 22. McNamara T. 34. O'Driscoll R. 20. Smart S.	19. Al Qaq A. 9. Anderson O. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 23. Forbes J. 1. McGuire J. (G) 6. Roberts T.
Coaches
Rensing D.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Pedro Becker ⚽, Perez L. (A),
18', Washington B. 🟨,
38', Burner P. 🟨,
39', Gartig E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pearson C. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
46', Pickering N. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
61', Stojanovic S. ↓, McNamara T. ↑,
65', Sommersall R. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
65', Dolabella P. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
68', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
71', Servania J. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Roberts T. ⚽,
78', Boudadi Y. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
78', Rodriguez J. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
79', Servania J. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
79', Burner P. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Gannon C. ⚽, Gartig E. (A),
87', Conway E. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Las Vegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

North Carolina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.

Recently, North Carolina has had a series of home games.

North Carolina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
16.08.25	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	6:0 ✺
19.07.25	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	4:0 ✺
12.07.25	Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
15.08.25	North Carolina - Detroit City	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Louisville City - North Carolina	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
18.07.25	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.10.24	North Carolina - Las Vegas Lights	2:1

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