Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.1
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.59	4.18
	1.85	3.52	4.15	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.8	3.45	4.31	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.64)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)	4.13 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
51%

Draw
26.8%

Oakland Roots
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oakland Roots might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oakland Roots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Oakland Roots Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Oakland Roots will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 28. Osumanu I. 5. Suber S. 13. Biasi L. (C) 8. Etou B. 15. Sample B. 14. Mertz R. 42. Walti J. 9. Johnson E. 19. Kizza E.	20. Blanchette P. (G) 21. Tamacas B. 5. Riley C. (C) 15. Hackshaw N. 2. Njie B. 6. Gomez D. 22. Cedeno J. 17. Rodriguez J. 7. Matsoso N. 10. Mfeka L. 27. Chery M.
Substitutes
44. Cayet P. 27. Diene B. 11. Forbes K. 22. Lent-Koop J. 10. O’Toole A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 4. Rovira D.	40. Alekseev I. 38. Cruz E. 8. Donasiyano I. 3. Logue N. 4. Margvelashvili G. 11. Reid T. 60. Syrel T. (G)
Coaches
Lilley B.	Glinton G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Etou B. ⚽, Sample B. (A),
26', Tamacas B. 🟨,
28', Blanchette P. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Mertz R. (Pen),
45', 3 - 0, Suber S. ⚽, Sample B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Johnson E. ↓, Forbes K. ↑,
46', Cedeno J. ↓, Reid T. ↑,
46', Mfeka L. ↓, Donasiyano I. ↑,
47', Njie B. 🟨,
49', Osumanu I. 🟨,
51', 4 - 0, Forbes K. ⚽, Blackstock L. (A),
55', Hackshaw N. ↓, Logue N. ↑,
55', Matsoso N. ↓, Cruz E. ↑,
68', Blackstock L. ↓, Cayet P. ↑,
68', Gomez D. ↓, Margvelashvili G. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Etou B. ⚽,
73', Kizza E. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
73', Mertz R. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
81', Osumanu I. ↓, Lent-Koop J. ↑,
89', Biasi L. ↓, O’Toole A. ↑,
90+1', Biasi L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Pittsburgh has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oakland Roots is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pittsburgh will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
06.07.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Monterey Bay	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
06.07.24	Oakland Roots - Louisville City	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.06.23	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0
15.10.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Oakland Roots	3:1

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