Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Laney College Football Stadium (Oakland, CA)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, YouTube


	Oakland Roots		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.45	2.11
	3.24	3.42	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.24	3.44	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.35	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oakland Roots
28.8%

Draw
27.2%

Louisville City
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.1%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

27.8%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Oakland Roots - Louisville City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Blanchette P. (G) 23. Diaz M. 5. Riley C. (C) 15. Hackshaw N. 14. Rasmussen J. 6. Gomez D. 7. Matsoso N. 17. Rodriguez J. 10. Mfeka L. 2. Njie B. 27. Chery M.	18. Las D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Ordonez A. 6. Charpie W. 2. McFadden A. 23. Wynder E. 17. Davila T. 3. Morris J. 20. Gleadle S. 14. Harris W. (C) 7. Serrano R.
Substitutes
22. Cedeno J. 8. Donasiyano I. 9. Dwyer D. 3. Logue N. 11. Reid T. 60. Syrel T. (G) 21. Tamacas B.	27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 22. Mares D. 8. Moguel Jr. C. 24. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G) 25. Wilson J.
Coaches
Glinton G.	Cruz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Matsoso N. 🟨,
45', Rasmussen J. ↓, Tamacas B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Totsch S. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Mfeka L. (A),
66', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
66', Serrano R. ↓, Mares D. ↑,
66', McFadden A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
66', Gleadle S. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
66', Njie B. ↓, Reid T. ↑,
68', Davila T. 🟨,
70', Chery M. 🟨,
74', Matsoso N. ↓, Donasiyano I. ↑,
74', Chery M. ↓, Cedeno J. ↑,
74', Totsch S. ↓, Moguel Jr. C. ↑,
83', Mfeka L. ↓, Logue N. ↑,
83', Rodriguez J. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
88', Cedeno J. 🟨,
90+1', Moguel Jr. C. 🟨,
90+4', Glinton G. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Oakland Roots is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Louisville City is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Louisville City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oakland Roots
USL Championship
29.06.24	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
08.06.24	Oakland Roots - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WLWWW
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
29.06.24	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
22.06.24	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:5 ✺
19.06.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Louisville City	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Louisville City - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.08.23	Louisville City - Oakland Roots	2:1

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