The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Republic 59.1%
Draw 24.4%
Oakland Roots 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
23.1%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
22.1%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 55. Ukaegbu C. 6. Kleemann F. 4. Desmond L. 2. Gurr J. 20. Willey B. 8. Lopez R. (C) 22. Benitez M. 10. Parano C. 11. Cicerone R. 90. Bennett K.
1. McIntosh K. (G) 33. Greene K. 4. Margvelashvili G. 15. Hackshaw N. 30. Doner M. 6. Gomez D. (C) 18. Byaruhanga B. 3. Bravo J. 10. Armenakas P. 9. Wilson P. 77. Bettache F.
Substitutes
21. Djedje R. 23. Edwards A. 9. Herrera J. 24. Jamieson L. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 43. Portillo J. J. 19. Ross N. 3. Spaulding R. 17. Wanner D.
50. Camier T. 25. Damm J. 45. Elmasnaouy A. 12. Gibson T. 7. Prentice W. 5. Riley C. 35. Spiegel R. (G) 99. Trejo D.
Coaches
Collins N.
Feilhaber B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Lopez R. ⚽,
27', Byaruhanga B. 🟨,
31', Bennett K. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Parano C. ⚽,
38', Kleemann F. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 2, Wilson P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 3 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽,
55', Bravo J. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
62', Desmond L. 🟨,
68', Bennett K. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
68', Lopez R. ↓, Ross N. ↑,
73', Bettache F. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
88', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 4.
Sacramento Republic has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Oakland Roots has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oakland Roots may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Oakland Roots has had a series of home games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
We predict that Sacramento Republic will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).