Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+, KDKA+, SportsEngine Play


	Rhode Island		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	4.20	5.50
	1.44	4.35	6.1
	1.47	4.66	6.74
	1.45	4.57	6.25	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.35
	1.51	4.19	5.88	Watch
	1.43	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	4.42 ↑ (4.15)	6.12 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
63.9%

Draw
21%

Orange County SC
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

23.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rhode Island - Orange County SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rhode Island will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 12. Holstad C. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 10. Rodriguez A. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 17. Kwizera J. 9. Williams J.	1. Rando A. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 6. Tubbs G. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 4. Benalcazar N. 10. Hegardt C. 25. Solis E. 8. Sylla O. 27. Kelly S. 11. MacKinnon L. 17. Johnson J.
Substitutes
7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 11. Fuson N. 8. Leo Afonso 2. Rovira D. 3. Sanchez A. 19. Vang K.	35. Carter Jr. J. 30. Castro J. 31. Kadono T. (G) 22. Marinch A. 26. Martinez J. 28. O'Brien F. 9. Zubak E.
Coaches
Smith K.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Holstad C. 🟨,
20', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
39', Ciotta N. 🟨,
45+4', Tubbs G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Holstad C. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
46', Johnson J. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Bacharach Capdevila H. ⚽, Shapiro-Thompson A. (A),
61', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Sylla O. ⚽,
72', Kwizera J. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
84', Nodarse F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Rhode Island has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orange County SC is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rhode Island is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
13.06.26	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Rhode Island - Westchester SC	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Rhode Island - Brooklyn	4:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
24.06.26	Miami - Orange County SC	2:4 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	New Mexico United - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	AV Alta - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
23.05.26	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
14.09.24	Orange County SC - Rhode Island	1:0

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