Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami)

Referee: Rivas M. (Usa)


	Miami		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.38	3.37	2.94
	2.3	3.38	2.82	Watch
	2.31	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
39.8%

Draw
27.6%

San Diego Loyal
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Miami - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Miami has the most likely position - 7 (12.8%), project points - 44, currently - 11, a good chance of playoffs (74%), a chance of qtrs (33%), a small chance of semis (14%), a small chance of final (6%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (13.51%), project points - 54, currently - 17, a good chance of playoffs (88%), a chance of qtrs (46%), a chance of semis (23%), a small chance of final (11%), a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has small quality 18, small importance 15, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
13.05.23	Louisville City - Miami	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Miami - Birmingham Legion	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Miami - Inter Miami	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
23.04.23	Miami - Las Vegas Lights	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
13.05.23	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Orange County SC - San Diego Loyal	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	San Diego Loyal - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
26.04.23	Seattle Sounders - San Diego Loyal	5:4 ✺
USL Championship
23.04.23	San Diego Loyal - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

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