Match Info

USA: US OPEN CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati)


	Cincinnati		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.37	4.8	7
	1.42	4.72	7.36
	1.35	4	7
	1.41	4.65	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.46 ↑ (3.88)	7.07 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
66.3%

Draw
20.7%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kann A. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 21. Miazga M. 32. Murphy I. 13. Arias S. 5. Nwobodo O. 93. Moreno J. 28. Gaddis R. 10. Acosta L. (C) 19. Vazquez B. 14. Badji D.	26. Waite J. (G) 13. Biasi L. 5. Osuna Ordonez A. 4. Rovira D. 6. Dossantos N. 14. Mertz R. 8. Etou B. 2. Griffin D. 15. Farrell J. 10. Harmon D. 9. Dikwa A.
Substitutes
8. Angulo M. 31. Barreal A. 7. Kubo Y. 36. Louro E. (G) 15. Mosquera Y. 29. Ordonez A. 2. Powell A.	11. Forbes K. 32. Gomes J. (G) 22. Lopez T. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Showunmi T. 23. Ybarra M. 20. Zwetsloot Antonius T.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Lilley B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 3.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.

In this match Cincinnati is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cincinnati to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
03.06.23	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	1:0 ✺
31.05.23	New York City - Cincinnati	1:3 ✺
27.05.23	Colorado Rapids - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
23.05.23	New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati	1:2 penalties ✺
MLS
20.05.23	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
03.06.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
24.05.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Columbus Crew	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
20.05.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Las Vegas Lights	4:1 ✺
13.05.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
19.04.22	Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:0 ET
USL Championship
06.10.18	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Cincinnati	0:0
01.09.18	Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1
US Open Cup
23.05.18	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Cincinnati	1:3
USL Championship
21.04.18	Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:2
02.09.17	Cincinnati - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1
01.04.17	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Cincinnati	0:1

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