Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Pittsburgh, PA)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pittsburgh Riverhounds		Sacramento Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.85	3.10
	2.33	2.90	2.88
	2.51	2.94	3.52
	2.23	3.15	3.21	Watch
	2.30	2.95	3.35
	2.34	3.02	3.23	Watch
	2.23	2.90	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.53)	2.96 ↓ (3.19)	3.22 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
40.1%

Draw
31.2%

Sacramento Republic
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sacramento Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campuzano N. (G) 13. Viera M. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 37. Goldthorp E. 2. Griffin D. (C) 42. Walti J. 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 9. Dikwa A.	1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 21. Leibold T. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 20. Willey B. 27. Crisostomo D. 24. Casas J. 7. Malango M. 11. Ajago F. 8. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
3. Barnes P. 19. Bassett S. 8. Etou B. 27. Flowers-Gamboa A. 14. Mertz R. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 36. Tsukanome Y. 23. Vacter G.	71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 6. Kleemann F. 19. Midence A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 55. Ukaegbu C. 16. Wolff T.
Coaches
Vincent R.	Collins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Viera M. ↓, Barnes P. ↑,
61', Ahl C. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
67', Leibold T. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
67', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
74', Amann T. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
74', Goldthorp E. ↓, Mertz R. ↑,
78', Willey B. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
78', Malango M. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
87', Casas J. ↓, Essel A. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.

Pittsburgh might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
01.08.26	Oakland Roots - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City	3:1 ✺
15.07.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL
- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
05.08.26	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Sporting Jacksonville	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Oakland Roots - Sacramento Republic	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Boise - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
03.08.24	Sacramento Republic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1
08.07.23	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Sacramento Republic	0:0
09.10.22	Sacramento Republic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1

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