Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Platense		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.6	3.2
	2.52	2.72	3.3	Watch
	2.6	2.66	3.29
				Watch
	2.4	2.62	3.4
	2.54	2.63	3.24	Watch
	2.52	2.72	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)	2.66 ↓ (2.88)	3.29 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
37.1%

Draw
34.8%

Independiente Rivadavia
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.4%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Platense - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Independiente R (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente R (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Independiente R (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 6. Salomon O. 3. Silva T. 7. Mainero G. 14. Picco L. 5. Herrera R. 11. Zapiola F. 77. Martinez R. 36. Orsini N.	1. Centurion E. (G) 21. Cardillo M. 40. Villalba I. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 34. Retamar K. 5. Bottari T. 24. Ortega T. 25. Amarfil M. 22. Villa S. (C) 43. Sartori F.
Substitutes
32. Baldassarra F. 24. Barros Schelotto B. 1. Desabato A. (G) 4. Elizalde E. 42. Goni G. 38. Ingenthron A. 22. Lozano R. 29. Minerva F. 23. Roldan E. 26. Schor I. 19. Toloza S. 39. Visona I.	29. Abecasis L. 20. Barbieri J. 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. 26. Fernandez M. 23. Marinelli G. (G) 13. Osella A. 4. Peinipil M. 16. Rodriguez L. 27. Souto P. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Silva T. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Villa S. (Pen),
14', Amarfil M. 🟨,
21', Picco L. 🟨,
36', Bottari T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Picco L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Herrera R. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Retamar K. ⚽, Ortega T. (A),
67', Zapiola F. ↓, Toloza S. ↑,
76', Cardillo M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Mainero G. (Pen),
78', Bottari T. ↓, Valenti M. ↑,
78', Ortega T. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
79', Martinez R. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
86', Sartori F. ↓, Peinipil M. ↑,
86', Retamar K. ↓, Barbieri J. ↑,
90+1', Gomez L. ↓, Souto P. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Studer S. (Pen),
1, Vazquez I. (Pen),
2, Fernandez M. (Pen),
2, Mainero G. (Pen),
3, Barbieri J. (Pen),
3, Schor I. (Pen),
4, Cardillo M. (Pen),
4, Saborido J. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

Platense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Platense has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Platense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Platense	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	San Lorenzo - Platense	0:1 ✺
20.05.25	River Plate - Platense	1:2 penalties ✺
10.05.25	Racing - Platense	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Platense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WWWWL
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.04.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Platense	0:2

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