Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maracaná (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Tigo Sports


	Plaza Amador		Potros del Este

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.59	3.6	5.2
	1.58	3.95	5.4
	1.64	3.68	5.47	Watch
	1.66	3.63	5.19
	1.59	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	5.24 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Amador
57.3%

Draw
25.2%

Potros del Este
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Potros del Este has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potros del Este than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Plaza Amador - Potros del Este Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Murillo J. ⚽,
32', Barrera J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Gallardo J. ↓, De Los Rios A. ↑,
69', Lara J. ↓, Forero J. ↑,
69', Murillo J. ↓, Negrete G. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,
73', Forero J. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', Sanchez J. ↓, Walder K. ↑,
75', Lopez O. ↓, Buitrago R. ↑,
75', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 2.

In recent matches, Plaza Amador has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Potros del Este's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Plaza Amador is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Amador won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Plaza Amador
Liga Panamena de Futbol
26.04.25	Árabe Unido - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Plaza Amador - Tauro	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Plaza Amador - Alianza Panama	3:3 ✺
30.03.25	Herrera - Plaza Amador	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Plaza Amador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWT
- Potros del Este
Liga Panamena de Futbol
28.04.25	Potros del Este - Sporting San Miguelito	3:3 ✺
13.04.25	Alianza Panama - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Árabe Unido - Potros del Este	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Potros del Este - Deportivo Universitario	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Veraguas - Potros del Este	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.01.25	Potros del Este - Plaza Amador	2:2
13.10.24	Potros del Este - Plaza Amador	3:2
17.08.24	Plaza Amador - Potros del Este	1:0
25.05.24	Potros del Este - Plaza Amador	0:1
18.05.24	Plaza Amador - Potros del Este	1:1
27.04.24	Potros del Este - Plaza Amador	1:0
21.01.24	Plaza Amador - Potros del Este	3:1

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