Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Los Milagros (Llano Bonito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Panama	Medcom GO, RPC, Tigo Sports


	Herrera		Plaza Amador

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.43	3.28	2.14	Watch
	3.35	3.15	2.07
	3.3	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.2)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herrera
27.5%

Draw
29.2%

Plaza Amador
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

29.2%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

29%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Herrera's performance.

Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plaza Amador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Herrera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Amador could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Herrera - Plaza Amador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guerra J. (G) 2. de la Espada J. 3. Gomez E. 4. Jimenez Abdiel 49. Hall J. 5. Walker E. 10. Caicedo A. 23. Mendoza T. 32. Grisales D. 14. Zuniga L. 77. Bethancourt F. (C)	1. Castaneda S. (G) 3. Cordoba O. 4. Sanchez J. 17. Negrete G. 37. Jones J. 6. Lara J. (C) 8. Vega R. 15. Murillo Y. 13. Rose E. 29. Lopez O. 25. Walder K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Walker E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
55', Murillo Y. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
55', Vega R. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
65', Walder K. ↓, Quintero A. ↑,
65', Rose E. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
65', Lara J. 🟨,
67', Gomez E. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
67', Bethancourt F. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
75', Murillo J. 🟨,
75', Lara J. ↓, Forero J. ↑,
75', Zuniga L. ↓, Garrido K. ↑,
80', Sanchez J. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Negrete G. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Herrera won 3.

Herrera is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Plaza Amador is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Herrera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Plaza Amador will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Herrera won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Herrera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herrera FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
23.03.25	Herrera - Alianza Panama	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Herrera - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Tauro - Herrera	0:0 ✺
27.02.25	Árabe Unido - Herrera	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Herrera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTTL
- CD Plaza Amador
Liga Panamena de Futbol
24.03.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Plaza Amador	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Plaza Amador - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Plaza Amador - Deportivo Universitario	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	San Francisco - Plaza Amador	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Plaza Amador - Veraguas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.08.24	Herrera - Plaza Amador	1:1
12.05.24	Herrera - Plaza Amador	1:2
02.03.24	Plaza Amador - Herrera	1:2
16.09.23	Herrera - Plaza Amador	2:1
11.03.23	Plaza Amador - Herrera	0:2
09.09.22	Herrera - Plaza Amador	0:1
26.03.22	Plaza Amador - Herrera	1:1

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