Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi (Colonia del Sacramento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Plaza Colonia		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.12	3.1	3.15
	2.19	3.26	3.21
	2.16	3.38	3.22	Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.13	3.14	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.21 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
42.9%

Draw
28.8%

Oriental de La Paz
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.6%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oriental will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Plaza Colonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
4	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTT
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.04.26	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	2:0
16.11.24	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	1:2
27.07.24	Plaza Colonia - Oriental de La Paz	0:1

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