Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Cardiff City		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.5	5.75
	1.51	4.2	6
	1.52	4.15	5.9
	1.59	4.27	5.43
	1.66	3.83	4.87	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.51	4.4	6.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	4.19 ↓ (4.23)	5.73 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
61.3%

Draw
22.3%

Plymouth Argyle
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 27. Colwill J. 6. Wintle R. 45. Ashford C. 10. Colwill R. (C) 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.	21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 6. Szucs K. 15. Mitchell A. 4. Wiredu B. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. (C) 23. Ibrahim B. 14. Benarous A. 17. Watts C. 11. Mumba B. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
12. Chambers C. 39. Davies I. 28. Mafico D. 38. Ng P. 29. Nyakuhwa T. 47. Robinson C. 41. Turner M. (G)	13. Baker Z. (G) 8. Edwards J. 22. Galloway B. 38. Hatch J. 25. Issaka F. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Sorinola M. 🟨,
34', Colwill J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Wintle R. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
42', Colwill R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Willock C. ⚽, Ashford C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Colwill R. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
52', Benarous A. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
65', Sorinola M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
67', Ashford C. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
67', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
67', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
71', Mitchell A. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
72', Watts C. ↓, Hatch J. ↑,
87', Colwill J. ↓, Ng P. ↑,
90', Kpakio R. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 0, Davies I. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),

Preview

Cardiff has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Plymouth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cardiff: Tanner O. (Injury) Turnbull D. (Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Injury) Hazard C. (Knee Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Szucs K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Robertson A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Injury) Paterson J. (Inactive)

We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Cup
26.08.25	Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Luton Town - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff City - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Cardiff City - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Cup
26.08.25	Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lincoln City - Plymouth Argyle	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.02.25	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	1:1
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0
20.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	3:1
26.12.23	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
Club Friendly
21.07.17	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	0:1

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