The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 46.3%
Draw 27.4%
Plymouth Argyle 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
26.6%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
23.4%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
23.5%
11.8%
Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42% – 87.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 24. Kyle John 25. Humphreys C. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. 3. Headley J. 33. Hall G. 12. Walters R. 8. Garrity B. (C) 44. Cole D. 17. Paton R.
1. Hazard C. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 22. Galloway B. 6. Szucs K. 19. Boateng M. 20. McCabe L. 35. Dale O. 29. Sorinola M. 11. Mumba B. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 18. Croasdale R. 11. Curtis R. 22. Debrah J. 14. Ojo F. 9. Stockley J.
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Benarous A. 8. Edwards J. 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 32. Ralls J. 4. Wiredu B.
Coaches
Moore D.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Sorinola M. (A),
59', Heneghan B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
65', McCabe L. 🟨,
68', Dale O. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
69', Galloway B. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
69', Headley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
70', Walters R. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
74', Kyle John 🟨,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
80', Tolaj L. 🟨,
89', Benarous A. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
90+2', Hall C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+8', Edwards J. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plymouth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
Port Vale might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
Benarous A.
(Inactive)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
Watts C.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Edwards J.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
United-kingdom
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Gauci J. (G) 
Kyle John 
Paton R. 
Hazard C. (C) 
Ross M. 
Galloway B. 
Szucs K. 
Tolaj L. 
Brown D. 
Ojo F. 
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