Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.57
	4.33	3.75	1.68
	4.5	3.75	1.72
	4.68	3.9	1.7
	4.79	3.96	1.68
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	4.49	3.67	1.71	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (4.48)	3.77 ↑ (3.68)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
20.1%

Draw
24.5%

Arka Gdynia
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.1%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.8%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Procek P. (G) 55. Willman M. 5. Senic M. 6. Hlavica J. 77. Tomasik P. (C) 3. Jodlowiec T. 27. Kolenc J. 24. Sitek M. 10. Banaszewski M. 53. Martinaga M. 11. Ilicic M.	95. Lenarcik P. (G) 32. Stolc P. 29. Marcjanik M. 4. Dobrotka M. 94. Gojny D. (C) 39. Lipkowski K. 20. Borecki M. 21. Skora K. 8. Sidibe A. 7. Kobacki O. 10. Czubak K.
Substitutes
9. Abate L. 47. Bernard B. . Czader P. 21. Liszka F. 17. Malachowski A. 23. Misztal M. 43. Wieczorek K. (G) 30. Zajac R. 2. Ziolkowski M.	13. Azatsky O. 33. Depka P. (G) 9. Gaprindashvili T. 27. Hafez A. 6. Milewski S. 2. Navarro M. 38. Predenkiewicz M. 31. Staniszewski J. 17. Turski H.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Lobodzinski W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Hlavica J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinaga M. ↓, Bernard B. ↑,
57', Gojny D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
65', Lipkowski K. ↓, Milewski S. ↑,
66', Tomasik P. 🟨,
67', Navarro M. 🟨,
72', Banaszewski M. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,
78', Jodlowiec T. 🟨,
80', Milewski S. 🟨,
80', Milewski S. 🟨,
81', Sitek M. ↓, Abate L. ↑,
81', Kolenc J. ↓, Misztal M. ↑,
87', Skora K. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 0.

Podbeskidzie has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Arka is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
26.04.24	Wisła Kraków - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:1 ✺
23.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Tychy	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
05.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
28.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Resovia Rzeszów	3:2 ✺
24.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
21.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia	2:2 ✺
05.04.24	Arka Gdynia - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
04.11.23	Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
12.11.22	Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2
17.07.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	0:1
13.05.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	1:1
05.11.21	Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0
Polish Cup
19.09.17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Arka Gdynia	1:2 ET

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