Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 27

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej (Bielsko-Biała)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.21	3.4	3.28
	2.21	3.4	3.28
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.15	3.35	3.14	Watch
	2.16	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	3.11 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
42.6%

Draw
27.8%

Polonia Warsaw
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Polonia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krzepisz K. (G) 5. Senic M. 89. Mikolajewski D. (C) 6. Hlavica J. 53. Martinaga M. 32. Kisiel J. 4. Lusiusz S. 7. Bida B. 24. Sitek M. 10. Banaszewski M. 11. Ilicic M.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 2. Grudniewski M. 21. Majsterek J. 37. Zawistowski N. 16. Koton K. 6. Piatek J. 29. Fadecki W. 10. Bajdur M. 77. Michalski M. (C) 11. Kobusinski S.
Substitutes
9. Abate L. 3. Jodlowiec T. . Kolenc J. 17. Malachowski A. 23. Misztal M. 95. Procek P. (G) 55. Willman M. 30. Zajac R. 2. Ziolkowski M.	23. Arak F. 22. Biedrzycki B. 13. Grzelczak A. 7. Kluska M. 20. Marciniec P. 18. Pawlowski D. 1. Sandach A. (G) 9. Tomczyk P. 8. Wojciechowski O.
Coaches
Skrobacz J.	Smalec R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Grudniewski M. ⚽, Bajdur M. (A),
29', Majsterek J. 🟨,
30', Martinaga M. 🟨,
31', Lusiusz S. ↓, Kolenc J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinaga M. ↓, Ziolkowski M. ↑,
46', Kisiel J. ↓, Abate L. ↑,
49', Bajdur M. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Senic M. ⚽, Kolenc J. (A),
61', 1 - 2, Kobusinski S. ⚽, Bajdur M. (A),
70', Hlavica J. 🟨,
70', Bajdur M. ↓, Kluska M. ↑,
70', Michalski M. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
74', Mikolajewski D. 🟨,
74', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
75', Zawistowski N. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
75', Kobusinski S. ↓, Tomczyk P. ↑,
76', Hlavica J. ↓, Zajac R. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).

Podbeskidzie is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Polonia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Podbeskidzie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Podbeskidzie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 1
05.04.24	Górnik Łęczna - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	GKS Katowice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	5:0 ✺
10.03.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLT
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
08.04.24	Polonia Warsaw - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
29.09.23	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.05.13	Polonia Warsaw - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1
10.11.12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	0:1
06.05.12	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Warsaw	1:1

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