Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.9	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.55	1.88
	4.18	3.78	1.9
	4	3.5	1.88	Watch
	3.9	3.74	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.8)	3.61 ↑ (3.51)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
23.9%

Draw
26.2%

Lech Poznań
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.8%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

17%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lech Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	3.3%	76.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Lech will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.04.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:3 ✺
16.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Zagłębie Lubin - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
05.04.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.04.21	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
17.04.21	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	3:1 ✺
11.04.21	Lech Poznań - Legia Warsaw	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.20	Lech Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:0
Polish Cup
09.08.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lech Poznań	0:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.02.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lech Poznań	4:1
12.09.15	Lech Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1
29.04.15	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Lech Poznań	0:2
07.11.14	Lech Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
Club Friendly
26.06.14	Lech Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	N/A

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