Match Info

Division 2 - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	14:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Podhale Nowy Targ		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	3.60
	1.74	3.60	3.70
	1.83	3.84	3.80
	1.83	3.88	3.77	Watch
	1.81	3.75	3.65
	1.83	3.77	3.87	Watch
	1.79	3.65	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)	3.74 ↑ (3.57)	3.69 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podhale Nowy Targ
50.8%

Draw
24.4%

Lechia Zielona Góra
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-2%)

Podhale Nowy Targ - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Fratczak D. (G) 77. Koltanski D. 26. Kumoch K. 42. Lipien M. 10. Nowak A. 16. Rubis J. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 14. Sobczak S. 17. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.	26. Bursztyn J. (C) 7. Bargiel P. 17. Debski D. 33. Flis P. 4. Kurowski I. 13. Lizakowski K. 9. Olek K. 28. Rutkowski B. 16. Szczotko F. 24. Szmigiel M. 18. Szpakowski M.
Substitutes
56. Baniowski F. 41. Gozdecki N. 11. Kubik T. 29. Marcinho 6. Mikolajczyk B. 23. Rachwal R. 2. Salak K. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 71. Talar K.	72. Aleksandrowicz M. 6. Embalo G. 19. Kurek M. 77. Lisowski M. 5. Majchrzak F. 3. Ostrowski R. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 21. Zientarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Rubis J. ↓, Baniowski F. ↑,
60', Nowak A. 🟨,
61', Rutkowski B. 🟨,
62', Sobczak S. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
62', Lipien M. ↓, Talar K. ↑,
62', Surzyn M. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
68', Olek K. ↓, Mycan P. ↑,
70', Sewerys R. 🟨,
71', Flis P. 🟨,
73', Szmigiel M. ↓, Zientarski M. ↑,
73', Bargiel P. ↓, Lisowski M. ↑,
75', Nowak A. ↓, Rachwal R. ↑,
82', Mycan P. 🟨,
83', Debski D. ↓, Kurek M. ↑,
90+5', Zientarski M. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 12th).

Podhale is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zielona Góra has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Podhale carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	13	5	5	3	22:20	2	20
14	Zielona Gora	13	4	4	5	20:24	-4	16

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Podhale Nowy Targ: 0.81% Zielona Gora: 0.81%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
09.10.26	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Legia II - Podhale Nowy Targ	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWW
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 2
10.10.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
03.10.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
19.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Znicz Pruszków	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Swit Skolwin	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWL

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