The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Podhale Nowy Targ 52.5%
Draw 24.6%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
26.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
24.5%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podhale Nowy Targ's performance.
Rekord Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rekord Bielsko-Biała might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Podhale Nowy Targ that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rekord Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Podhale Nowy Targ - Rekord Bielsko Biała Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Fratczak D. (G) 56. Baniowski F. 11. Kubik T. 26. Kumoch K. 42. Lipien M. 29. Marcinho 10. Nowak A. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 25. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.
39. Kaczorowski W. (C) 8. Boczek T. 77. Ceglarz P. 17. Gibiec A. 19. Kasprzak K. 33. Mazurek D. 16. Pawlowski D. 80. Rys J. 6. Scislak D. 3. Sobocinski J. 28. Tekieli M.
Substitutes
28. Brod A. 77. Koltanski D. 6. Mikolajczyk B. 23. Rachwal R. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 14. Sobczak S. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 71. Talar K.
32. Gumolka K. 30. Kareta K. . Kasprowicz G. 18. Kempny J. 91. Klichowicz M. 67. Sapinski F. 71. Sobolewski S. (G) 11. Swiderski D. 75. Wyroba P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Mazurek D. ↓, Sapinski F. ↑,
24', Ceglarz P. ↓, Kempny J. ↑,
32', Sobocinski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Surzyn M. ↓, Koltanski D. ↑,
63', Kubik T. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Sobczak S. ⚽,
68', Sapinski F. 🟨,
71', Boczek T. 🟥,
71', Nowak A. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
73', Baniowski F. ↓, Rubis J. ↑,
73', Lipien M. ↓, Talar K. ↑,
73', Kasprzak K. ↓, Swiderski D. ↑,
73', Kempny J. ↓, Klichowicz M. ↑,
74', Tekieli M. ↓, Kasprowicz G. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Scislak D. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Nowak A. ⚽, Talar K. (A),
85', Kumoch K. ↓, Mikolajczyk B. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).
Podhale is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Bielsko-Biała have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bielsko-Biała could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Podhale holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Podhale has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:4 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Podhale against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Podhale Nowy Targ
10
5
2
3
20:18
2
17
6
Bielsko-Biala
10
5
1
4
15:11
4
16
Last Results with these Odds
Rekord Bielsko-Biała - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 31.46%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Fratczak D. (G) 
Marcinho 
Vosko P. 
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