Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Podlasie Biała Podlaska		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.68
	4.15	4.25	1.58
	3.57	3.64	1.88	Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.54	Watch
	5.75	5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (5.25)	4.14 ↓ (4.48)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
20.7%

Draw
22.3%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

20.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

19.9%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gorzhuy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Majewski M. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Goc S. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Biała Podlaska has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ostrowiec is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Biała Podlaska won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Biała Podlaska won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWWL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.06.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:1
15.11.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:2
16.03.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:0
23.08.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1
29.04.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:2
24.09.22	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1
11.06.22	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	5:1

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