Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.50
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.89	2.59
	2.46	3.75	2.56	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.5
	2.38	3.54	2.46
	2.38	3.35	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.56)	3.57 ↑ (3.54)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
37.8%

Draw
25.7%

Termalica Nieciecza
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

25.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

25.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Termalica will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski K. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 3. Dembek B. 17. Niewiadomski J. 7. Jedrasik J. 20. Oshafi A. 21. Los K. 23. Ciepiela B. 15. Niski N. 10. Jaron D. (C) 9. Majewski R.	1. Chovan A. (G) 4. Zarowny A. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. 15. Dabrowski S. 16. Kozik M. 23. Guerrero S. 17. Biniek D. 21. Hilbrycht D. 25. Zapolnik K. (C) 13. Kubica K.
Substitutes
5. Dias M. 25. Glacel M. (G) 11. Kargulewicz K. 27. Konstantyn J. 99. Koprowski O. 6. Krupa J. 19. Turski H. 14. Uzoigwe H. 42. Zbrog J.	27. Boboc R. 10. Drag M. 26. Jakubik W. 20. Jaroszewski M. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. . Surowiec P. 76. Topor E. (G)
Coaches
Kafarski T.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
21', Biniek D. 🟨,
42', Zarowny A. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Jedrasik J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zapolnik K. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
64', Jaron D. ↓, Uzoigwe H. ↑,
64', Jedrasik J. ↓, Konstantyn J. ↑,
65', Biniek D. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
65', Zarowny A. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
69', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Kubica K. ⚽, Slawinski O. (A),
76', Majewski R. ↓, Turski H. ↑,
76', Niski N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
79', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Drag M. ↑,
81', Ciepiela B. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Turski H. ⚽, Kargulewicz K. (A),
84', Guerrero S. 🟨,

Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Termalica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Termalica Nieciecza - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
22.08.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTWWW
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
22.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

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