Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 31

Date: 28 May 2023, Sunday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	7.5
	1.28	5.5	6.75
	1.25	5.26	6.47
	1.25	5.65	9.1	Watch
	1.3	4.75	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	5.28 ↑ (4.8)	7.48 ↓ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
70.9%

Draw
17.1%

Ursus Warszawa
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

17.9%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ursus Warszawa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.23	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
13.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTTW
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	ŁKS Łódź II - Ursus Warszawa	3:2 ✺
29.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
15.08.20	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
21.09.19	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	1:0

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