Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.22	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.24	3.25	3.38
	2.19	3.47	3.14	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.26	3.25	3.14	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	3.22 ↑ (3.11)	3.07 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
41.2%

Draw
28.7%

Górnik Łęczna
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Siedlce: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pogoń Siedlce (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. (C) 16. Poczobut B. 10. Drag M. 95. Zielonka N. 39. Rosolek M. 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K.	53. Budzilek L. (G) 17. Spacil B. 14. Szabaciuk F. 29. Gucek L. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 23. Ogaga D. 10. Deja A. 38. Myszor J. 8. Kryeziu E. 95. Janaszek F. 9. Paryzek P.
Substitutes
56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 26. Kolodziejski M. 29. Niezgoda J. 41. Pakulski D. 72. Szczytniewski S. 7. Szuprytowski D. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J.	30. Akhmedov B. 22. Biedrzycki B. 3. Holownia M. 74. Kruk K. 71. Nowogonski K. 88. Osipiuk O. 1. Pindroch B. (G) . Stepniak J. 7. Wolsztynski R.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Shatalov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Spacil B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Zielonka N. 🟨,
60', Jakubik D. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Spacil B. ⚽,
64', Zielonka N. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
64', Rosolek M. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
71', Zbrog J. 🟨,
72', Paryzek P. ↓, Nowogonski K. ↑,
79', Spacil B. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
81', Famulak M. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
87', Misiak P. 🟨,
88', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Podlinski K. ⚽, Niezgoda J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Pogoń Siedlce is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Leczna: 6.76% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
22.02.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Unia Skierniewice	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
20.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Górnik Łęczna	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Górnik Łęczna - Resovia Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
07.12.25	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
02.05.25	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3
26.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
Polish Cup
28.02.23	Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna	0:1
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	3:2
23.01.21	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0
Polish Division 2
11.07.20	Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3

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