Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.7
	4.11	3.75	1.7	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
23.6%

Draw
24.2%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

23.8%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Pogoń Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In recent matches, Lubaczów has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostrowiec is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ostrowiec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lubaczów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lubaczów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.09.25	Wisłoka Dębica - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:4 ✺
06.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWT
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Stal Kraśnik	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.05.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0
12.10.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1

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