Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Wrzeszczynski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.9
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.05	3.65	3.1	Watch
	1.84	4.03	3.91
	2.06	3.88	3.12	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	2	3.62	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.08)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
47.6%

Draw
24.9%

GKS Tychy
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Tychy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Glacel M. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 52. Olewinski O. 21. Los K. (C) 23. Adamczyk H. 27. Konstantyn J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 4. Korczakowski I. 9. Gieroba S.	39. Madrzyk J. (G) 21. Machowski K. 8. Szpakowski M. 26. Lasicki I. (C) 2. Silva L. 10. Listkowski M. 37. Keiblinger J. 47. Jankowski B. 24. Baranski B. 92. Kadzior D. 99. Rygula T.
Substitutes
77. Adkonis J. 30. Barnowski D. 10. Jaron D. 7. Jedrasik J. 11. Kargulewicz K. 1. Kieszek P. (G) 13. Lis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 20. Wypart O.	20. Krawczyk P. 22. Kubik T. 29. Lysiak P. 13. Proczek T. (G) 9. Rumin D. 90. Welniak K. 30. Wuwer J.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Poms R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gajgier A. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
49', Gieroba S. 🟨,
57', Konstantyn J. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
57', Olewinski O. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
74', Machowski K. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
74', Rygula T. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
80', Korczakowski I. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
83', Baranski B. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
84', Lasicki I. 🟨,
89', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
90+2', Kadzior D. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.

GKS Tychy is Relegated to Division 2

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, GKS Tychy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Tychy: 16.22%

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
11.05.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
07.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	1:4 ✺
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTL
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
10.05.26	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:4 ✺
03.05.26	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Tychy	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Wieczysta Kraków - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2

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