Match Info

Division 1 - Round 15

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Grodzisk Mazowiecki)

Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3	Watch
	2.1	3.45	3.15
	1.97	3.68	3.29	Watch
	2.09	3.35	3.1
	2.08	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)	3.42 ↑ (3.19)	3.14 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44.2%

Draw
26.7%

Odra Opole
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Odra Opole Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 16. Gajgier A. 6. Farbiszewski B. 52. Olewinski O. 21. Los K. (C) 31. Staniszewski J. 27. Konstantyn J. 7. Jedrasik J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 19. Adamski R.	31. Abramowicz M. (G) 52. Cassio 4. Chrzanowski A. 26. Kendzia F. 22. Spychala M. 13. Purzycki A. 11. Ramos L. 77. Szklinski S. 8. Perez J. 14. Prikryl T. (C) 19. Przybylko K.
Substitutes
30. Barnowski D. 9. Gieroba S. 25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 92. Krupa J. 13. Lis J. 20. Wypart O.	30. Haluch A. (G) 70. Kobusinski S. 33. Kupczyk F. 18. Mida S. 7. Milos M. 9. Muratovic E. 3. Piroch J. 6. Pochciol J. 24. Szrek J.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Skrobacz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽,
34', Spychala M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Purzycki A. ⚽, Spychala M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Cassio 🟨,
64', Spychala M. ↓, Milos M. ↑,
64', Szklinski S. ↓, Mida S. ↑,
68', Los K. 🟨,
69', Jedrasik J. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
72', Przybylko K. ↓, Muratovic E. ↑,
72', Ramos L. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
73', Kobusinski S. 🟨,
77', Olewinski O. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
77', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
85', Staniszewski J. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
85', Los K. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
90+1', Purzycki A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽,
90+4', Gieroba S. 🟨,

Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Odra Opole has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Odra Opole may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Odra Opole - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTWWL
- Odra Opole
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Odra Opole - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
24.10.25	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Odra Opole - Wieczysta Kraków	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTTWT

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