Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski w Szczecinie (Szczecin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)


	Pogoń Szczecin		Gent

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.8	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4	3.9	1.8
	3.7	3.8	1.88
	3.76	3.82	1.88
	3.78	3.96	1.84	Watch
	3.8	4.2	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.25)	3.93 ↑ (3.57)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
25%

Draw
23.9%

Gent
51.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

25.6%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	3.7%	88.9%

Pogoń Szczecin - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Klebaniuk B. (G) 41. Stolarski P. 68. Loncar D. 25. Lisowski W. 4. Leo Borges 21. Gamboa J. 20. Gorgon A. 7. Kurzawa R. 22. Bichakhchyan V. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 10. Zahovic L.	33. Roef D. (G) 22. Fadiga N. 5. Kandouss I. 4. Watanabe T. 23. Torunarigha J. 17. Hjulsager A. 8. Gerkens P. 13. De Sart J. (C) 28. Fernandez-Pardo M. 20. Orban G. 10. Tissoudali T.
Substitutes
17. Fornalczyk M. 83. Holewinski A. (G) 71. Korczakowski O. 9. Koulouris E. 32. Koutris L. 73. Przyborek A. 72. Rostami Y. 61. Smolinski K. 28. Wahlqvist L. 70. Wawrzynowicz S.	21. Agbor B. 11. Cuypers H. 19. Fofana M. 26. Fortin L. (G) 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 24. Kums S. 15. Lagae B. 1. Nardi P. (G) 18. Samoise M.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Vanhaezebrouck H.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.

Recent matches Pogoń Szczecin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gent is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pogoń Szczecin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gent will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pogoń Szczecin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
13.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.08.23	Gent - Pogoń Szczecin	5:0 ✺
03.08.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Linfield	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.07.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Linfield - Pogoń Szczecin	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.08.23	Westerlo - Gent	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.08.23	Gent - Pogoń Szczecin	5:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.08.23	KV Mechelen - Gent	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Žilina - Gent	2:5 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.23	Gent - Kortrijk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.08.23	Gent - Pogoń Szczecin	5:0

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