The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Szczecin II 59.2%
Draw 21.4%
Wda Świecie 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
19.7%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
18.7%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Szczecin II's form might have worsened.
Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Pogoń Szczecin II - Wda Świecie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Czaplinski J. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 2 - 0, Lawa N. ⚽,
20', 3 - 0, Ossowski A. ⚽,
34', 4 - 0, Waligora N. ⚽,
37', 5 - 0, Czaplinski J. ⚽,
40', 6 - 0, Czaplinski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (7 - 1)
51', 6 - 1, Dawid I. ⚽,
54', 7 - 1, Kusmierczyk B. ⚽,
64', 8 - 1, Kusmierczyk B. ⚽,
69', 9 - 1, Osowski M. ⚽,
77', 10 - 1, Waligora N. ⚽,
80', 11 - 1, Rachubinski M. ⚽,
82', 12 - 1, (Own goal),
89', 13 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2.
Pogoń Szczecin II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wda Świecie has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wda Świecie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pogoń Szczecin II is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Pogoń Szczecin II will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).