Match Info

Abissnet Superiore - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Pogradeci		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.64
	1.9	3.12	4.16	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.85	3.18	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.13)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)	3.84 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogradeci
48%

Draw
28.3%

Besa Kavajë
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogradeci's performance.

Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Besa Kavajë might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Users Predictions: Pogradeci will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stanic M. (G) 31. Danladi S. 7. Greca B. 22. Kasmollari P. 10. Kazeem S. 13. Lila V. 8. Lleshaj G. 9. Ogunleye K. 18. Samake A. 97. Shanaj M. 2. Tosevski K.	50. Abdullahu M. (G) 13. Abdulai N. 3. Ayivi K. 33. Bianor 9. Chinwendu G. 26. Cordeiro W. 2. Daja V. 22. Danaj R. 4. Kapo E. 10. Migone R. 23. Spahiu E.
Substitutes
77. Abazaj M. 27. Dragoshi R. 17. Gjoni E. 20. Indio Oliveira 99. Mammadov E. (G) 23. Mertkola M. 16. Pius F. 90. Preknicaj K. . Spaho O. (G) 14. Veizi R.	17. Begaj X. 7. Beqja F. 12. Dema E. (G) 20. Gjinaj N. 16. Hasani E. 30. Hebeja R. 19. Nurja J. 15. Puqja S. 14. Rrena H. 11. Treni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Danladi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Danaj R. ↓, Gjinaj N. ↑,
46', Migone R. ↓, Begaj X. ↑,
54', Chinwendu G. 🟨,
60', Cordeiro W. ↓, Treni P. ↑,
63', Ogunleye K. 🟨,
65', Tosevski K. ↓, Dragoshi R. ↑,
66', Daja V. ↓, Beqja F. ↑,
77', Shanaj M. ↓, Abazaj M. ↑,
77', Kazeem S. ↓, Pius F. ↑,
77', Danladi S. ↓, Indio Oliveira ↑,
87', Greca B. ↓, Preknicaj K. ↑,
89', Treni P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 2.

Pogradeci has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Besa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Besa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pogradeci could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogradeci won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogradeci won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Pogradeci
Albanian Super League
07.05.26	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	3:0 ✺
Albanian First Division
19.04.26	Laçi - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Pogradeci - Kukësi	5:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Burreli - Pogradeci	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWW
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian Super League
07.05.26	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	0:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.05.26	Kukësi - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Besa Kavajë - Korabi Peshkopi	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Besa Kavajë - Lushnja	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
14.03.26	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	2:3
17.01.26	Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë	0:0
19.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	1:1
Albanian Super League
28.04.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	0:1
Albanian First Division
15.03.25	Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë	0:1
02.12.24	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	0:0
11.09.24	Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë	0:2

Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide