Match Info

K League 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Pohang Steelers		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.9	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.82
	2.51	3.23	3.13
	2.43	3.11	3.02	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9
	2.57	3.14	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.72)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	2.95 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
38%

Draw
30.3%

Daejeon Citizen
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Daejeon Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daejeon Citizen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Pohang Steelers - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 3. Kim Ye-Sung 36. Kim H. 20. Park Chan-Yong (C) 2. Eo Jeong-Won 31. Nishiya K. 8. Kim Seung-Ho 11. da Rocha Junior J. 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 25. Jorge Teixeira 19. Lee Ho-Jae	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 6. Kang Yun-Sung 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 5. Lim Jong-Eun 16. Lee Myung-Jae (C) 20. Lee H. 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 8. Victor Bobsin 77. Joao Victor 9. Diogo Oliveira 17. Ludwigson G.
Substitutes
9. An J. 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 16. Kim Dong-Jin 30. Kim Yong-Hak 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 14. Lee Chang-Woo 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 10. Tranziska J. 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)	7. Ishida M. 10. Joo Min-Kyu 30. Kim Bong-Soo 3. Kim Min-Duk 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 44. Lee Soon-Min 11. Um Won-Sang
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Cho Sung-Gwon 🟨,
26', Diogo Oliveira 🟥,
28', Hwang Sun-Hong 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Lee Ho-Jae (Penalty Awarded),
35', Joao Victor ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Hyeon-Ug ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
46', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
59', Nishiya K. ↓, Ki Sung-Yueng ↑,
66', Eo Jeong-Won 🟨,
72', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Kim Dong-Jin ↑,
72', Kim Seung-Ho ↓, Tranziska J. ↑,
78', Lee H. ↓, Lee Soon-Min ↑,
78', Ludwigson G. ↓, Ishida M. ↑,
83', Kang Yun-Sung ↓, Kim Moon-Hwan ↑,
90+2', Kim Ye-Sung ↓, Shin Kwang-Hoon ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pohang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pohang has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pohang won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
28.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTT
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
21.03.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Daejeon Citizen - Anyang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
26.10.25	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	2:0
05.10.25	Pohang Steelers - Daejeon Citizen	1:3
27.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	1:3
14.02.25	Pohang Steelers - Daejeon Citizen	0:3
21.07.24	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	1:2
15.06.24	Pohang Steelers - Daejeon Citizen	1:1
07.04.24	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	1:2

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