Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Zorya Luhansk		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.35	2.35
	2.96	3.39	2.31
	2.68	3.42	2.58	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.3
	3.02	3.49	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.63)	3.35 ↑ (3.34)	2.37 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zorya Luhansk
32.6%

Draw
27.9%

Karpaty Lviv
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 10. Juninho 55. Jordan 5. Janjic A. 47. Vantukh R. 9. Slesar A. 22. Micin P. 77. Kushnirenko B. 6. Popara D. 7. Andjusic N. 28. Budkivsky P. (C)	1. Domchak N. (G) 77. Sych O. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 21. Tanda P. 8. Chachua A. 23. Alvarez P. 17. Fedor O. 95. Krasnopir I. 37. Bruninho
Substitutes
21. Basic J. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 4. Eskinja G. 24. Golovkin I. 11. Gorbach I. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 23. Malysh N. 20. Matkevych A. 44. Perduta I. 36. Ruan Oliveira 19. Salenko R. 12. Turbayevskyi M. (G)	9. Fabiano 19. Karabin Y. 18. Klymenko V. 26. Kostenko Y. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 10. Neves I. 7. Paulo V. 28. Polegenko P. 33. Shakh A.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Budkivsky P. ⚽, Andjusic N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Fedor O. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
63', Alvarez P. ↓, Paulo V. ↑,
69', Vantukh R. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,
75', Micin P. ↓, Basic J. ↑,
81', Baboglo V. 🟨,
85', Budkivsky P. 🟨,
90+2', Krasnopir I. ↓, Kostenko Y. ↑,
90+3', Slesar A. ↓, Dryshlyuk K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:16. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
30.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWT
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
29.11.25	Veres Rivne - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.05.25	Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	1:3
02.12.24	Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
30.11.19	Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv	2:0
25.08.19	Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
10.11.18	Zorya Luhansk - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
12.08.18	Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
18.02.18	Karpaty Lviv - Zorya Luhansk	0:2

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