Match Info

Division 1 - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Warsaw		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.88
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.5	2.92	Watch
	2.2	3.69	3.08
	2.17	3.76	2.97	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.2	3.55	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.98)	3.51 ↓ (3.6)	2.94 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
42.4%

Draw
26.2%

Miedź Legnica
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.6%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 20. Brasido D. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 97. Janasik P. 26. Gnaase D. 7. Vega D. 23. Skrabb S. 8. Wojciechowski O. 17. Dadok R. 9. Zjawinski L.	72. Lucic I. (G) 99. Kwiecien B. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 15. Jovicic M. 49. Szymoniak O. 8. Serafin J. 23. Rakip E. 78. Polak C. 18. Cordoba A. 10. Mioc B. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
16. Budnicki J. 99. Durmus I. 5. Hoxhallari E. 70. Klukowski A. 90. Kostorz K. 10. Mroz M. 1. Sandach A. (G) 24. Terpilowski E. 19. Vasin N.	98. Antonik K. 7. Bochnak M. 11. Kuchko G. 95. Mansfeld M. 80. Petrovic Z. 59. Stepinski P. 44. Wrabel J. (G)
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Salihu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Rakip E. ↓, Petrovic Z. ↑,
60', Mioc B. ↓, Antonik K. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Wojciechowski O. (A),
67', Cisse S. ↓, Budnicki J. ↑,
67', Dadok R. ↓, Durmus I. ↑,
72', Cordoba A. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
77', Zjawinski L. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
77', Skrabb S. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
77', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
77', Polak C. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Jovicic M. ⚽, Kuchko G. (A),
86', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
90', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
90+6', Serafin J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Polonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Polonia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Warszawa: 6.76% Legnica: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
14.03.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	3:2 ✺
09.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ruch Chorzów - Polonia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Polonia Warsaw - Znicz Pruszków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWT
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
13.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	ŁKS Łódź - Miedź Legnica	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Chrobry Głogów	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Miedź Legnica - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
02.03.25	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:3
17.08.24	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	0:1
23.02.24	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
14.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	3:4

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