Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Polvorín		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.8
	2.62	2.87	2.82
	2.59	2.86	2.83	Watch
	2.5	2.93	2.71
	2.55	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	2.89 ↓ (3.09)	2.79 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Polvorín
35.7%

Draw
31.6%

Arosa
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Polvorín - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Barullo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 2 - 2, Villaverde H. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Rivera J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 1.

Recent matches Polvorín is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arosa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polvorín FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
08.02.25	Atlético Arteixo - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Polvorín - UD Ourense	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Polvorín - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	RC Villalbes - Polvorín	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Polvorín - Noia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Noia - Arosa	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sarriana - Arosa	4:1 ✺
12.01.25	Alondras - Arosa	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Arosa - Boiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
06.10.24	Arosa - Polvorín	3:0
25.02.24	Arosa - Polvorín	0:0
24.04.21	Arosa - Polvorín	2:1
04.04.21	Polvorín - Arosa	1:0
19.01.20	Polvorín - Arosa	2:2
25.08.19	Arosa - Polvorín	1:0
27.01.19	Polvorín - Arosa	3:2

Upcoming Matches