Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.65	3.7	4.65
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.63	3.81	4.71	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.75
	1.7	3.39	5.4
	1.65	3.7	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	3.57 ↑ (3.1)	4.67 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
55%

Draw
25.5%

Antequera
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ponferradina - Antequera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ponferradina (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ponferradina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 19. Lopez A. 24. Doue M. 22. Esquerdo V. 9. Cabanzon Y. 10. Valle B. 15. Bustos A. 21. Cortes J.	13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Perez I. 3. Carrion J. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 20. Aspra J. 10. Nunez C. 21. Biabiany J. 14. Rubio A. 17. Roige Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 5. Lancho J. 16. Lozano M. 11. Mula A. 18. Ramon A.	8. Clavijo D. 16. Elejalde I. 19. Fernandez X. 26. Gonzalez I. 22. Jaime G. 9. Longo S. 5. Marcelo A. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez I. 11. Siddiki O. 6. Toni Arranz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', Cortes J. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
33', Nunez C. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Rubio A. ⚽,
45+1', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,
45+1', Cabanzon Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Cortes J. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
71', Biabiany J. 🟨,
74', Lopez A. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
80', Roige Rodriguez P. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
83', Valle B. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
87', Doue M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
87', Valle B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Sibille K. ↓, Andujar D. ↑,
97', Aspra J. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
97', Luengo Herrera L. M. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
100', Rubio A. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
104', Ramon A. 🟨,
106', Esquerdo V. ↓, Lozano M. ↑,
107', Fomeyem F. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ponferradina - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Marbella - Antequera	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Antequera - Betis B	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Antequera - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.05.25	Antequera - Ponferradina	1:0

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