Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Antequera		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.65
	2.8	3.1	2.49
	2.88	3	2.61
	2.8	3.01	2.51	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.58
	2.8	3.1	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.54)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)	2.56 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
33.3%

Draw
30.5%

Ponferradina
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

30.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Antequera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Antequera - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 3. Carrion J. 4. Perez I. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 21. Biabiany J. 10. Nunez C. 14. Rubio A. 20. Aspra J. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 17. Roige Rodriguez P.	1. Prieto A. (G) 18. Ramon A. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 17. Carrique T. 22. Esquerdo V. 16. Lozano M. 10. Valle B. 15. Bustos A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J.
Substitutes
30. Alcover D. (G) 8. Clavijo D. 19. Fernandez X. 26. Gonzalez I. 22. Jaime G. 9. Longo S. 5. Marcelo A. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez I. 11. Siddiki O. 6. Toni Arranz	2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 20. Costa A. 24. Doue M. 6. Fernandez B. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 11. Mula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Carrion J. 🟨,
34', Aspra J. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Rubio A. ⚽,
61', Lozano M. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
61', Cortes J. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
71', Rubio A. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
71', Nunez C. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
71', Roige Rodriguez P. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
78', Valle B. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
83', Aspra J. ↓, Jaime G. ↑,
83', Biabiany J. ↓, Toni Arranz ↑,
84', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
84', Bustos A. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.05.25	Marbella - Antequera	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Antequera - Betis B	4:1 ✺
10.05.25	Real Murcia - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Antequera - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Mérida AD - Antequera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTTL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.05.25	Sestao - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ponferradina - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tarazona - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

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