The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 35.1%
Draw 33.3%
Tenerife 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
33.2%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
32.4%
43.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Ponferradina - Tenerife Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 3. Novoa G. 5. Undabarrena E. 19. Lopez A. 7. Calderon C. 16. Frimpong E. 22. Esquerdo V. 17. Keita A. 10. Valle B. (C) 18. Vazquez B.
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 3. Aguero F. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 14. Lopez N. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 24. Chapela I. 22. Valles G. 18. Enric (C)
Substitutes
2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 12. Koke 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 8. Slavy 15. Sousa V.
17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 29. Fernandez D. 23. Jorge J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 27. Ulloa A. 5. Yaakobishvili A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Aguero F. ↓, Yaakobishvili A. ↑,
23', Valles G. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Undabarrena E. ⚽,
38', Calderon C. 🟨,
40', Yaakobishvili A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valles G. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
46', Alvarez C. ↓, Ulloa A. ↑,
66', Jorrin M. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
66', Keita A. ↓, Koke ↑,
78', Calderon C. ↓, Moltenis B. ↑,
78', Esquerdo V. ↓, Mfulu O. ↑,
81', Chapela I. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
81', Fabricio ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Fernandez D. ⚽,
89', Vazquez B. ↓, Slavy ↑,
90+3', Lopez A. 🟥,
90+5', Balde M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Tenerife could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Ponferradina
6
3
2
1
5:3
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Tenerife - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Spain
Watch
#ad
Prieto A. (G) 
Frimpong E. 
Aguero F. 
Landazuri A. 
Fabricio 
Valles G. 
Kysil V. 
Mfulu O. 
Moltenis B. 
Slavy 
Sousa V. 
Yaakobishvili A. 
