Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TV Canaria


	Talavera de la Reina		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.9
	3.85	3	2
	3.95	3.13	1.95
	4.09	3.13	1.98	Watch
	3.8	2.88	1.95
	4.19	2.99	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.96)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
22.8%

Draw
30.1%

Tenerife
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

30.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

29.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Talavera de la Reina aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 16. Navarro I. 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 3. Roig A. 15. Acosta L. 6. Pitu 17. Ouacharaf B. 14. Molina A. 20. Ferni 9. Moreno M.	1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Landazuri A. 3. Aguero F. 19. Alvarez C. 14. Lopez N. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 24. Chapela I. 18. Enric (C) 22. Valles G.
Substitutes
7. Di Renzo G. 23. Farrando M. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 21. Montero Sergio 24. Nordin M. 8. Sanchez L.	17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 33. Fernandez P. 23. Jorge J. 4. Leon J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 27. Ulloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Enric 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Chapela I. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
59', Enric ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
62', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
68', Aguero F. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
69', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
81', Ferni ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
81', Molina A. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
81', Acosta L. ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Recent performances by Talavera have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tenerife is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tenerife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Tenerife - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ponferradina - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTTWL
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Celta de Vigo B - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Tenerife - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Arenteiro - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.01.26	Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina	1:0

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