Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:45	Footballclub


	Ponferradina		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.4
	2.15	2.75	3.40
	2.15	2.82	3.55
	2.21	2.91	3.46
	2.22	2.98	3.54	Watch
	2.09	2.9	3.35
	2.16	2.82	3.48
	2.14	2.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
42.1%

Draw
31.7%

Barakaldo
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ponferradina - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dominguez A. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 5. Undabarrena E. (C) 4. Jelbat A. 23. Roig A. 6. San Emeterio F. 10. Valle B. 11. Bari Q. 19. Munoz P. 18. de Leon J. 9. Slavy	13. Campos G. (G) 5. Muguruza A. 17. Trigueros P. 18. Gomez B. 3. Zoilo A. 15. Jimenez I. 10. Pena A. (C) 19. Troncho A. 21. Fernandez X. 14. Collado U. 11. Mattheus C.
Substitutes
25. Abedzadeh A. (G) 13. Alvin (G) 2. Andujar D. 14. Aranda J. L. 7. Calderon C. 17. Chibozo J. 21. Faye S. 24. Koke 3. Nieto S. 12. Sabroso U. 16. Tounkara N. 15. Vacas O.	7. Cabo J. 22. Calera S. 8. Huidobro J. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 4. Marotias O. 27. Mateos E. 20. Okolo 26. Ruiz M. 9. Sola X. 23. Sustatxa A.
Coaches
Nafti M.	de la Sota Aberasturi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Bari Q. 🟨,
4', Gomez B. 🟨,
26', Jimenez I. 🟨,
34', Jimenez I. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Collado U. ↓, Cabo J. ↑,
51', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
57', Munoz P. 🟨,
60', Bari Q. ↓, Vacas O. ↑,
73', Hernandez E. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
73', Slavy ↓, Faye S. ↑,
79', Mattheus C. ↓, Okolo ↑,
79', Pena A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
84', Huidobro J. 🟨,
88', de Leon J. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
88', Roig A. ↓, Sabroso U. ↑,
89', Nafti M. 🟨,
90+3', Troncho A. ↓, Sustatxa A. ↑,
90+5', Undabarrena E. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 15th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Ponferradina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ponferradina has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 0.5:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ponferradina against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ponferradina	9	3	4	2	6:6	0	13
15	Barakaldo	9	2	4	3	8:10	-2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ponferradina - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.26	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Ponferradina - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ponferradina - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWTW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.26	Barakaldo - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	UD Ourense - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.04.26	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	1:0
09.11.25	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:0
07.02.25	Ponferradina - Barakaldo	0:1
17.11.24	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:1

Upcoming Matches