Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 22

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.16	3.34
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.26	3.28	3.2	Watch
	2.32	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
41%

Draw
29.8%

Villarreal B
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	30.8%	34.6%

Ponferradina - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Villarreal B will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponferradina: 16.3% – 52.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 21 (15.03%), has project points - 45, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 16 (8.23%), has project points - 53, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 43, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ponferradina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Mirandés - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.22	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Levante - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
05.12.22	Ponferradina - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTL
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Villarreal B - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
07.12.22	Cartagena - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Villarreal B - Leganés	0:0 ✺
26.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.22	Villarreal B - Ponferradina	2:2

Upcoming Matches