Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 24

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Caerau Ely		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.33	3.75
	1.57	4.5	4
	1.58	4.5	4
	1.62	4.25	4.09
	1.57	4.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	4.4 ↓ (4.6)	3.97 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
56.6%

Draw
20.6%

Pontardawe Town
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caerau Ely, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Redhead O. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Dorward J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Griffiths B. L. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Sheppard G. ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13).

Caerau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontardawe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pontardawe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Caerau is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caerau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
09.04.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	6:2 ✺
01.04.24	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
29.03.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Cambrian United - Caerau Ely	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWTWT
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
06.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Cwmbran Celtic	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Llanelli - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Pontardawe Town - Trefelin	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Taffs Well AFC - Pontardawe Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Caerau Ely	3:6

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